Birkenhead United vs Melville United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.4%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
11.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birkenhead United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2020 |
BAO
2 - 0
BIR
23%
23%
54%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2020 |
BIR
2 - 2
MUF
82%
13%
5%
|
45 | 26 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2020 |
HWA
2 - 1
BIR
8%
16%
75%
|
47 | 22 | 25 | -2 |
| 18 Jul. 2020 |
BIR
1 - 1
AFC
66%
19%
15%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2020 |
ESU
2 - 3
BIR
12%
19%
70%
|
47 | 26 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Melville United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2020 |
WES
0 - 0
MEL
63%
18%
19%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2020 |
MEL
3 - 0
WAI
19%
22%
60%
|
28 | 45 | 17 | +5 |
| 25 Jul. 2020 |
BAO
1 - 1
MEL
69%
16%
14%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 2020 |
MEL
0 - 1
MUF
60%
19%
22%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Jul. 2020 |
HWA
2 - 0
MEL
19%
19%
61%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | -3 |