noscript image

Switzerland Fourth Division. Matchday 12

Biel-Bienne Luzern II
12 ELO 14
47% Tilt 57%
8152º General ELO ranking 7734º
61º Country ELO ranking 59º
ELO win probability
48.3%
Biel-Bienne
21.2%
Draw
30.6%
Luzern II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
Biel-Bienne
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.1%
30.6%
Win probability
Luzern II
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Biel-Bienne
+126%
+58%
Luzern II

Points and table prediction

Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Delemont
30
50
22%
Wohlen
28
50
20%
Biel-Bienne
27
48
16%
Grasshoppers II
25
46
16%
Baden
23
43
13%
Solothurn
20
37
9%
Muttenz
20
35
10%
Bassecourt
19
31
11º
10%
Schotz
18
34
10%
Langenthal
10º
18
32
10%
Luzern II
11º
15
31
10º
9%
Buochs
12º
15
31
12º
12%
Goldau
13º
10
25
13º
20%
Zug 94
14º
5
15
14º
60%
Expected probabilities
Biel-Bienne
Luzern II
Champion
18% 1%
Promotion playoffs
17% 2%
Could qualify for next round
16% 3%
Mid-table
48% 72%
Relegation
1% 22%

ELO progression

Biel-Bienne
BIE
Luzern II
LUZ
Zug 94
ZUG
Buochs
BUO
Grasshoppers II
GRA
Schotz
SCH
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Biel-Bienne
Biel-Bienne
1%
X%
2%
ELO BIE ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Oct. 2019
DEL
Delemont
3 - 1
Biel-Bienne
BIE
47%
27%
26%
181 246 65 -1
11 Oct. 2019
BIE
Biel-Bienne
3 - 0
Wohlen
WOH
39%
28%
33%
179 470 -291 +2
29 Sep. 2019
LAN
Langenthal
0 - 3
Biel-Bienne
BIE
44%
27%
29%
178 97 -81 +1
22 Sep. 2019
BIE
Biel-Bienne
3 - 3
Baden
BAD
46%
27%
28%
178 219 -41 0
14 Sep. 2019
GRA
Grasshoppers II
3 - 2
Biel-Bienne
BIE
46%
27%
27%
179 157 -22 -1

Matches

Luzern II
Luzern II
1%
X%
2%
ELO LUZ ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Oct. 2019
LUZ
Luzern II
0 - 0
Bassecourt
BAS
49%
26%
25%
205 88 117 0
12 Oct. 2019
GOL
Goldau
5 - 2
Luzern II
LUZ
42%
28%
31%
206 75 -131 -2
28 Sep. 2019
LUZ
Luzern II
1 - 3
Muttenz
MUT
47%
27%
26%
208 124 84 -1
21 Sep. 2019
SCH
Schotz
5 - 2
Luzern II
LUZ
47%
27%
26%
209 241 32 -1
14 Sep. 2019
LUZ
Luzern II
5 - 1
Buochs
BUO
47%
27%
26%
208 154 54 +1