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FA Cup. Qualifying round

Aggregate 3-2. Vuelta 1-2

Bideford vs Bodmin Town analysis

Bideford Bodmin Town
51 ELO 53
134% Tilt 93%
15064º General ELO ranking 13628º
794º Country ELO ranking 609º
ELO win probability
64%
Bideford
15.3%
Draw
20.6%
Bodmin Town

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64%
Win probability
Bideford
3.29
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
11-1
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
11-2
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
0.1%
10-4
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.2%
9-4
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
1.8%
7-3
0.5%
8-4
0.1%
9-5
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
5%
5-2
3.2%
6-3
1.1%
7-4
0.3%
8-5
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
4.9%
5-3
2.1%
6-4
0.6%
7-5
0.1%
8-6
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
1.8%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
6%
4-3
3.2%
5-4
1%
6-5
0.2%
7-6
<0%
+1
17.8%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
0.5%
1-1
3.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
3.9%
4-4
1.6%
5-5
0.4%
6-6
0.1%
0
15.3%
20.6%
Win probability
Bodmin Town
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
1.9%
4-5
0.6%
5-6
0.1%
6-7
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.2%
5-7
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
2-8
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%