FA Cup .
Global 3-2
Bideford vs Bodmin Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.8%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
17.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bideford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2016 |
BRI
1 - 4
BID
14%
19%
67%
|
25 | 14 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
BID
3 - 1
WAN
80%
13%
7%
|
24 | 13 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2016 |
BID
0 - 3
TIV
37%
26%
37%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | -2 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
MAN
2 - 1
BID
34%
24%
42%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
BID
0 - 0
BIG
40%
25%
35%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Bodmin Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2016 |
CHE
2 - 3
BOD
13%
18%
70%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
BOD
2 - 2
CHE
81%
12%
7%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
BOD
1 - 2
BAT
12%
18%
70%
|
17 | 47 | 30 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
BOD
2 - 0
ALM
70%
17%
13%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
STA
0 - 1
BOD
17%
20%
63%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | 0 |