BFC Daugavpils vs FS Jelgava analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.1%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.9%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
65.5%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
12%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BFC Daugavpils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2015 |
FSM
2 - 3
BFC
33%
25%
42%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2015 |
FCS
6 - 0
BFC
78%
15%
8%
|
56 | 76 | 20 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2015 |
BFC
0 - 2
VEN
11%
17%
72%
|
56 | 79 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
BFC
4 - 2
FCJ
64%
20%
16%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
VEN
2 - 0
BFC
74%
18%
8%
|
56 | 78 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
FS Jelgava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2015 |
FKJ
3 - 3
VAL
64%
20%
16%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2015 |
FKJ
4 - 2
GUL
48%
23%
29%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2015 |
FKJ
5 - 1
REZ
68%
19%
14%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2015 |
LIE
1 - 1
FKJ
44%
24%
32%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
FSM
0 - 3
FKJ
14%
23%
63%
|
73 | 50 | 23 | +1 |