Béziers vs Toulouse II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.3%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.9%
5.8%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
57
1º
4º
1º
55
2º
8º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
57 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 37 |
6º
|
86.5% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 34 |
7º
|
44% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
57.5% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
82% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Béziers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
BAL
0 - 1
BEZ
7%
18%
76%
|
52 | 30 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
BEZ
3 - 1
ANG
70%
19%
12%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
CRF
4 - 1
BEZ
23%
27%
50%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
BEZ
4 - 2
NAN
73%
17%
9%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
COL
1 - 3
BEZ
19%
24%
56%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Toulouse II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
TOU
1 - 0
MON
36%
26%
39%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
TOU
3 - 2
AGD
40%
26%
35%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
CAS
4 - 2
TOU
29%
24%
47%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | -2 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
TOU
1 - 1
BLA
67%
19%
14%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
OLY
1 - 1
TOU
55%
24%
21%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |