Philadelphia Union II vs Hartford Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
52.1%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Philadelphia Union II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
NYO
5 - 4
PHU
68%
17%
15%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2020 |
HAA
1 - 1
PHU
75%
15%
10%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
PHU
0 - 3
HAA
28%
23%
50%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2020 |
PHU
4 - 0
LOU
40%
24%
36%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | +3 |
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
LOU
1 - 1
PHU
66%
18%
16%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Hartford Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2020 |
HAA
1 - 1
PHU
75%
15%
10%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
PHU
0 - 3
HAA
28%
23%
50%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2020 |
HAA
3 - 1
NYO
41%
23%
36%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
PIT
5 - 0
HAA
69%
20%
11%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2020 |
HAA
2 - 1
LOU
66%
19%
16%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |