UCL Qualifying Third Stage Final
Global 3-1
Beşiktaş vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.8%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
32.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Beşiktaş
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
GAZ
0 - 1
BJK
28%
27%
45%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2007 |
KAS
1 - 2
BJK
22%
27%
52%
|
84 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2007 |
ZUR
1 - 1
BJK
54%
24%
22%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2007 |
BJK
1 - 0
KON
64%
21%
15%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2007 |
SHF
0 - 3
BJK
44%
25%
31%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
ZUR
5 - 1
YOB
54%
24%
23%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2007 |
SIO
0 - 5
ZUR
28%
26%
47%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2007 |
ZUR
1 - 1
BJK
54%
24%
22%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2007 |
ZUR
3 - 1
STG
67%
20%
13%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2007 |
ZUR
3 - 1
THU
67%
20%
14%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |