Champions League . Last 16
Global 1-3
Beşiktaş vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.2%
23%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
45%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Beşiktaş
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 1958 |
RMA
2 - 0
BJK
88%
8%
4%
|
78 | 92 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 1958 |
RSO
0 - 0
RMA
23%
23%
55%
|
92 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1958 |
RMA
3 - 0
VCF
84%
10%
6%
|
92 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1958 |
RMA
2 - 0
BJK
88%
8%
4%
|
92 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1958 |
OVI
0 - 2
RMA
18%
21%
61%
|
92 | 71 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1958 |
RMA
5 - 0
ATM
79%
12%
9%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | 0 |