Besancon FC vs AS La Chapelle Guinchay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.8%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.6%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.1%
8%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+126%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
2º
10º
6º
15
7º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 58 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 40 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
15 | 15 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Besancon FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
SEL
0 - 4
BFC
28%
23%
49%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2023 |
BFC
1 - 1
ASP
76%
15%
9%
|
28 | 13 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
BFC
1 - 2
SOC
57%
22%
21%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
BFC
1 - 0
FCG
66%
20%
14%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
PON
2 - 3
BFC
39%
25%
36%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
AS La Chapelle Guinchay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
LCG
2 - 2
DIJ
13%
19%
68%
|
10 | 34 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
LCG
1 - 1
VES
10%
15%
76%
|
7 | 37 | 30 | +3 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
LCG
2 - 3
YZE
13%
20%
67%
|
8 | 31 | 23 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
ASP
4 - 0
LCG
67%
17%
16%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
SOC
0 - 0
LCG
87%
9%
4%
|
8 | 24 | 16 | +1 |