Scottish League Two . Jor. 29

Berwick Rangers vs Arbroath analysis

Berwick Rangers Arbroath
43 ELO 51
11.7% Tilt -0.5%
5941º General ELO ranking 3534º
62º Country ELO ranking 36º
ELO win probability
31%
Berwick Rangers
24.3%
Draw
44.7%
Arbroath

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31%
Win probability
Berwick Rangers
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
44.7%
Win probability
Arbroath
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Berwick Rangers
+17%
-45%
Arbroath

ELO progression

Berwick Rangers
Arbroath
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Berwick Rangers
Berwick Rangers
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Mar. 2017
EDI
Edinburgh City
2 - 2
Berwick Rangers
BER
48%
24%
27%
44 45 1 0
11 Mar. 2017
BER
Berwick Rangers
1 - 3
Cowdenbeath
CWB
69%
18%
14%
45 35 10 -1
07 Mar. 2017
BER
Berwick Rangers
4 - 3
Clyde
CLY
50%
24%
26%
44 45 1 +1
25 Feb. 2017
BER
Berwick Rangers
0 - 1
Elgin City
ELG
30%
24%
45%
45 52 7 -1
18 Feb. 2017
BER
Berwick Rangers
3 - 2
Forfar Athletic
FOR
26%
25%
49%
43 54 11 +2

Matches

Arbroath
Arbroath
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Mar. 2017
ARB
Arbroath
1 - 0
Clyde
CLY
64%
21%
15%
50 44 6 0
04 Mar. 2017
ELG
Elgin City
0 - 0
Arbroath
ARB
58%
21%
21%
50 52 2 0
25 Feb. 2017
ARB
Arbroath
4 - 1
Cowdenbeath
CWB
70%
18%
12%
50 38 12 0
18 Feb. 2017
ARB
Arbroath
1 - 1
Stirling Albion
STI
62%
21%
17%
50 44 6 0
11 Feb. 2017
MON
Montrose
1 - 3
Arbroath
ARB
33%
25%
43%
50 44 6 0
X