Beroe vs Septemvri Sofia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
18.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Beroe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
BER
1 - 1
SSO
54%
25%
22%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
BVR
1 - 2
BER
29%
27%
45%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
BER
4 - 1
ZAG
77%
15%
8%
|
74 | 52 | 22 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
BOT
2 - 1
BER
35%
25%
40%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2021 |
BER
3 - 1
HEB
66%
20%
14%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Septemvri Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
NEF
0 - 6
SEP
15%
23%
62%
|
65 | 46 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
SEP
0 - 0
STR
79%
14%
6%
|
65 | 48 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
SEP
2 - 0
YAN
83%
12%
6%
|
65 | 45 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
LOV
0 - 0
SEP
36%
24%
40%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2021 |
ETA
1 - 1
SEP
37%
24%
39%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |