Bern 1894 vs FC Sursee analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.8%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
30.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bern 1894
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
SOL
6 - 0
BER
71%
18%
11%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
BER
1 - 3
KRI
21%
22%
57%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | -2 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
MUN
4 - 1
BER
60%
23%
17%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
BER
0 - 1
WAN
40%
24%
36%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
ZUG
4 - 0
BER
60%
21%
19%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
FC Sursee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2014 |
FCS
2 - 3
CHA
27%
24%
49%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
FCS
0 - 2
YOU
20%
21%
59%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
SOL
2 - 0
FCS
68%
19%
14%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
FCS
0 - 5
KRI
31%
23%
46%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | -2 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
MUN
1 - 0
FCS
56%
24%
20%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | 0 |