Bern 1894 vs Black Stars analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.6%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
66.9%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.7%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.3%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bern 1894
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2015 |
LUZ
3 - 2
BER
86%
10%
5%
|
23 | 42 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
YOU
4 - 1
BER
83%
11%
5%
|
24 | 44 | 20 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
BER
1 - 4
CHA
13%
20%
67%
|
25 | 47 | 22 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
FCS
1 - 1
BER
71%
17%
12%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
BER
0 - 0
SOL
16%
21%
63%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Black Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2015 |
BLA
1 - 4
CHA
36%
24%
41%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
FCS
2 - 3
BLA
31%
24%
45%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
BLA
1 - 2
SOL
56%
21%
23%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
KRI
0 - 1
BLA
68%
18%
14%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
BLA
3 - 3
MUN
57%
22%
21%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |