Bergerac vs Chamalières analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.3%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
17.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.1%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.4%
10.4%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
1º
13º
3º
41
4º
15º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 54 |
1º
|
78% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 52 |
2º
|
63% | |
|
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
85% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 47 |
4º
|
70.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 44 |
5º
|
27% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 43 |
6º
|
19% | |
|
|
7º
|
41 | 42 |
7º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 42 |
8º
|
13% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 42 |
9º
|
19.5% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 42 |
10º
|
27% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 38 |
11º
|
81.5% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 37 |
12º
|
73% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
91.5% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
14º
|
86.5% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
86.5% | |
|
16º
|
23 | 23 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bergerac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2022 |
ANG
1 - 2
BER
25%
27%
49%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
BBR
1 - 2
BER
6%
14%
81%
|
52 | 6 | 46 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
BER
1 - 1
SAU
61%
23%
16%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
BER
0 - 0
TRE
67%
22%
12%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
STA
1 - 2
BER
20%
27%
54%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Chamalières
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
SAU
3 - 1
CHA
53%
25%
22%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
CHA
1 - 1
FCG
69%
21%
10%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
CHA
1 - 0
TRE
38%
28%
34%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +2 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
CHA
2 - 0
BOU
24%
26%
51%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | +2 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
AND
1 - 0
CHA
73%
18%
9%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | -1 |