Bergerac U19 vs Guingamp U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.8%
18%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
69.4%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.7%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.1%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+148%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
12º
14º
14º
43
1º
3º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 64 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
43 | 49 |
2º
|
49.5% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 48 |
3º
|
46.5% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 47 |
4º
|
59.5% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 40 |
5º
|
48.5% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 39 |
6º
|
31% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 38 |
7º
|
37% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 33 |
8º
|
34.5% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 32 |
9º
|
9.5% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 32 |
10º
|
48% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 24 |
11º
|
36.5% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 24 |
12º
|
23.5% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 21 |
13º
|
48% | |
|
|
13º
|
13 | 16 |
14º
|
84.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 49.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
2% | 50.5% |
|
Relegation
|
98% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bergerac U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
LAV
6 - 1
BER
77%
14%
9%
|
16 | 35 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
BER
2 - 3
SRS
48%
21%
31%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
REN
4 - 0
BER
79%
13%
8%
|
17 | 36 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
BER
0 - 0
SCB
21%
20%
60%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
NAN
8 - 0
BER
76%
15%
9%
|
17 | 50 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
Guingamp U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2025 |
GUI
6 - 2
LAV
51%
22%
27%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
SRS
0 - 2
GUI
15%
19%
66%
|
36 | 17 | 19 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
GUI
3 - 1
REN
40%
23%
37%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
SCB
2 - 0
GUI
26%
22%
52%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
GUI
0 - 2
NAN
17%
22%
61%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | -2 |