Tercera RFEF I - Galicia Jor. 31

Bergantiños FC vs UD Ourense analysis

Bergantiños FC UD Ourense
42 ELO 32
-14.1% Tilt -11.2%
5664º General ELO ranking 8370º
187º Country ELO ranking 324º
ELO win probability
63.2%
Bergantiños FC
22.6%
Draw
14.1%
UD Ourense

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.2%
Win probability
Bergantiños FC
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.6%
14.1%
Win probability
UD Ourense
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Bergantiños FC
+36%
+23%
UD Ourense

Points and table prediction

Bergantiños FC
Their league position
UD Ourense
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
73
55
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Bergantiños FC
73
73
100%
Celta C – Gran Peña
61
61
100%
Arosa
58
58
100%
UD Ourense
55
55
100%
SD Sarriana
50
50
100%
At. Arteixo
47
47
100%
Somozas
45
45
0%
CD Estradense
45
45
0%
Alondras CF
11º
44
44
0%
Barbadás
44
44
10º
0%
Viveiro
10º
44
44
11º
0%
Betanzos CF
14º
43
43
12º
0%
Silva SD
12º
43
43
13º
0%
CD Lugo B
13º
43
43
14º
100%
Rápido de Bouzas
15º
42
42
15º
100%
UD Paiosaco
16º
41
41
16º
100%
Pontevedra B
17º
26
26
17º
100%
CSD Arzua
18º
18
18
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Bergantiños FC
UD Ourense
Promotion
100% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 100%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Bergantiños FC
UD Ourense
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Bergantiños FC
Bergantiños FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Apr. 2024
PON
Pontevedra B
2 - 1
Bergantiños FC
BER
8%
17%
75%
43 17 26 0
14 Apr. 2024
UPH
UD Paiosaco
0 - 1
Bergantiños FC
BER
14%
21%
66%
43 26 17 0
07 Apr. 2024
BER
Bergantiños FC
0 - 0
Arosa
ARO
50%
26%
24%
43 39 4 0
31 Mar. 2024
SAR
SD Sarriana
0 - 1
Bergantiños FC
BER
22%
25%
53%
43 31 12 0
28 Mar. 2024
SIL
Silva SD
0 - 2
Bergantiños FC
BER
21%
26%
52%
42 33 9 +1

Matches

UD Ourense
UD Ourense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Apr. 2024
UDO
UD Ourense
4 - 1
Arosa
ARO
27%
24%
50%
30 40 10 0
14 Apr. 2024
SAR
SD Sarriana
1 - 2
UD Ourense
UDO
57%
22%
21%
29 31 2 +1
07 Apr. 2024
UDO
UD Ourense
0 - 0
Betanzos CF
BET
60%
21%
19%
29 25 4 0
31 Mar. 2024
SIL
Silva SD
0 - 1
UD Ourense
UDO
52%
25%
24%
27 31 4 +2
28 Mar. 2024
POL
CD Lugo B
4 - 2
UD Ourense
UDO
51%
25%
24%
29 31 2 -2
X