Berco vs Montalegre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.9%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
17.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Berco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
MIR
1 - 1
BSC
22%
21%
57%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
BSC
0 - 0
MER
51%
24%
25%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2020 |
BSC
3 - 1
MAR
43%
25%
33%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
PED
1 - 2
BSC
34%
23%
43%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
SMA
1 - 1
BSC
70%
18%
12%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Montalegre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
MON
1 - 0
BRA
69%
18%
14%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
ADO
1 - 1
MON
53%
22%
25%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
FAF
2 - 1
MON
81%
14%
5%
|
34 | 51 | 17 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
MON
0 - 1
UNM
37%
23%
40%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
VSC
4 - 3
MON
83%
12%
5%
|
35 | 52 | 17 | 0 |