Berchem Sport vs Excelsior Virton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
25.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Berchem Sport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
RES
4 - 0
BER
20%
21%
59%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2017 |
BER
2 - 1
RUP
53%
23%
24%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
GIV
1 - 6
BER
19%
22%
60%
|
52 | 35 | 17 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
BER
1 - 1
KNO
41%
25%
34%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
KNO
1 - 2
BER
59%
21%
20%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior Virton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
RUP
2 - 1
EXC
41%
24%
36%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
EXC
3 - 0
SPR
75%
16%
9%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
OUD
1 - 2
EXC
30%
24%
46%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
EXC
6 - 2
DEN
50%
24%
26%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
COX
0 - 5
EXC
25%
23%
52%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | 0 |