Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
32.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Berazategui
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2021 |
BER
1 - 0
RPI
40%
28%
32%
|
38 | 49 | -11 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2021 |
CLA
3 - 1
BER
41%
28%
31%
|
38 | 31 | -7 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
BER
4 - 1
LAF
40%
28%
32%
|
38 | 49 | -11 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
DOC
1 - 2
BER
44%
27%
28%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
BER
0 - 0
ITU
44%
27%
28%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Dock Sud
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2021 |
ITU
1 - 0
DOC
46%
27%
27%
|
39 | 38 | -1 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
DOC
1 - 4
ARM
41%
27%
32%
|
40 | 49 | -9 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2021 |
ALE
0 - 2
DOC
44%
27%
28%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
DOC
1 - 2
BER
44%
27%
28%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2021 |
EXC
0 - 0
DOC
47%
27%
26%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |