AFC Cup . Semi-finals
Global 2-3
Bengaluru vs Istiklol Dushanbe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
18.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+79%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bengaluru
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2017 |
IST
1 - 0
BEN
38%
24%
38%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2017 |
APR
0 - 0
BEN
40%
25%
36%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2017 |
BEN
3 - 0
APR
44%
24%
32%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2017 |
BEN
1 - 0
MAZ
56%
23%
21%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2017 |
MBS
3 - 1
BEN
38%
26%
36%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Istiklol Dushanbe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2017 |
IST
1 - 0
BEN
38%
24%
38%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2017 |
PAN
0 - 5
IST
45%
21%
34%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | +2 |
| 12 Sep. 2017 |
CER
1 - 1
IST
42%
20%
38%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | -3 |
| 22 Aug. 2017 |
IST
4 - 0
CER
64%
17%
20%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2017 |
IST
2 - 0
REG
70%
17%
13%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | +2 |