Benfica vs Vitória Setúbal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.5%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.5%
14%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
NAC
1 - 1
SLB
29%
26%
46%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2006 |
BOA
0 - 2
SLB
25%
27%
47%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
SLB
2 - 2
MAR
67%
21%
12%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2006 |
FCB
2 - 0
SLB
78%
15%
8%
|
87 | 94 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
BEL
1 - 2
SLB
22%
26%
52%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
VST
0 - 1
MAR
52%
26%
22%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2006 |
BEL
3 - 1
VST
43%
27%
30%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
VST
1 - 0
SPB
45%
27%
28%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2006 |
RIO
1 - 0
VST
42%
27%
31%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
VST
4 - 1
NAV
58%
24%
18%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |