Benfica vs Vitória Guimarães analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.5%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.9%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.1%
9.3%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
MOR
1 - 2
SLB
13%
21%
66%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2019 |
SLB
1 - 2
RBL
51%
22%
27%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
SLB
2 - 0
GFC
91%
7%
2%
|
87 | 54 | 33 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2019 |
SLB
3 - 2
EST
84%
11%
5%
|
87 | 67 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
SPB
0 - 4
SLB
42%
24%
33%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
TON
1 - 3
VIT
27%
25%
48%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2019 |
SDL
2 - 0
VIT
54%
23%
23%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
VIT
5 - 1
AVE
59%
23%
19%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
RIO
1 - 1
VIT
46%
25%
29%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
FCP
3 - 0
VIT
77%
15%
8%
|
79 | 90 | 11 | 0 |