Benfica vs Vitória Guimarães analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86%
Win probability
3.18
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.2%
5-0
6%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.3%
4-0
9.4%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.9%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.1%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
9.5%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.5%
4.4%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 1973 |
FAR
0 - 5
SLB
16%
19%
65%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1973 |
SLB
2 - 1
UFT
91%
7%
2%
|
88 | 57 | 31 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1973 |
LEX
2 - 0
SLB
21%
24%
55%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1973 |
FCP
2 - 2
SLB
32%
27%
41%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1973 |
SLB
3 - 0
VST
74%
16%
10%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 1973 |
VIT
1 - 1
FAB
56%
26%
18%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1973 |
VIT
1 - 0
FAR
72%
18%
10%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1973 |
VST
2 - 0
VIT
78%
15%
8%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1973 |
UFT
1 - 2
VIT
34%
29%
37%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1973 |
VIT
1 - 1
FCP
39%
27%
34%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |