Benfica vs Tondela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.5%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
<0%
+5
6.6%
4-0
11%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
12.7%
3-0
16.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.2%
+3
19.9%
2-0
18.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.9%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
20.1%
10.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
0.7%
3-3
0.1%
0
10.1%
2.4%
Win probability
0.28
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
0.5%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2.1%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2021 |
PSV
0 - 0
SLB
41%
24%
35%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
GFC
0 - 2
SLB
10%
18%
72%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2021 |
SLB
2 - 1
PSV
37%
24%
39%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
SLB
2 - 0
ARO
77%
15%
8%
|
87 | 67 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2021 |
SLB
2 - 0
SPA
65%
19%
16%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Tondela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
TON
0 - 3
POR
40%
27%
33%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
VIZ
2 - 1
TON
48%
26%
27%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
TON
3 - 0
SAN
25%
28%
48%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
TON
0 - 1
GFC
39%
25%
37%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2021 |
TON
2 - 3
PAÇ
29%
27%
44%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |