Benfica vs Rio Ave analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.6%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.3%
6.1%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1987 |
PEN
0 - 1
SLB
14%
26%
59%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1987 |
AGF
0 - 0
SLB
21%
25%
54%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 1987 |
SLB
2 - 0
SAL
81%
14%
5%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 1987 |
CHA
1 - 0
SLB
26%
24%
50%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1987 |
SLB
1 - 0
OEL
87%
9%
4%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Rio Ave
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1987 |
RIO
2 - 1
ACA
58%
23%
19%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1987 |
FAR
0 - 0
RIO
45%
28%
27%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 1987 |
RIO
1 - 0
ESP
63%
24%
14%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 1987 |
RIO
3 - 0
SPB
52%
25%
23%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 1987 |
PEN
4 - 1
RIO
39%
32%
29%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |