Benfica vs Portimonense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.5%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.4%
4-0
9.4%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.2%
3-0
13.6%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
11.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.2%
4.3%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2011 |
SLB
2 - 1
PSG
60%
22%
18%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
SPB
2 - 1
SLB
34%
25%
41%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2011 |
SLB
2 - 1
SCP
54%
23%
23%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
SLB
2 - 1
MAR
77%
15%
8%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2011 |
STU
0 - 2
SLB
37%
25%
38%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Portimonense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2011 |
POR
1 - 1
NAC
25%
27%
48%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
BMA
0 - 1
POR
65%
22%
13%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
POR
1 - 1
OLH
35%
27%
38%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
RIO
2 - 0
POR
63%
23%
14%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
POR
0 - 1
PAÇ
29%
27%
44%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | -1 |