Qualif. Champions Play-off. Final
Global 5-2
Benfica vs PAOK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.4%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
13.2%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
BOA
0 - 2
SLB
12%
21%
67%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2018 |
FEN
1 - 1
SLB
44%
24%
32%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2018 |
SLB
3 - 2
VIT
81%
13%
6%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2018 |
SLB
1 - 0
FEN
63%
20%
17%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2018 |
SLB
2 - 3
LYO
50%
22%
27%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
PAOK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2018 |
SPA
0 - 0
PAO
50%
24%
25%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2018 |
PAO
3 - 2
SPA
44%
24%
32%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2018 |
BAS
0 - 3
PAO
53%
23%
24%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2018 |
PAO
2 - 1
BAS
47%
24%
30%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2018 |
GRA
1 - 2
PAO
23%
24%
54%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | 0 |