Benfica vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
18%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
13%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2022 |
SLB
4 - 2
GIR
77%
15%
9%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
SLB
5 - 1
FUL
72%
17%
11%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2022 |
SLB
3 - 0
NIC
70%
18%
12%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
REA
0 - 2
SLB
6%
16%
78%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2022 |
PAÇ
0 - 2
SLB
10%
18%
72%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2022 |
M05
1 - 0
NEW
35%
27%
38%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2022 |
NEW
3 - 0
MUN
66%
20%
14%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
NEW
5 - 1
GAT
78%
15%
7%
|
83 | 53 | 30 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
BUR
1 - 2
NEW
35%
27%
38%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2022 |
NEW
2 - 0
ARS
19%
23%
58%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | +1 |