Benfica vs Naval analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.3%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.4%
9.4%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
NAC
0 - 3
SLB
26%
26%
48%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2007 |
FCK
0 - 1
SLB
41%
27%
32%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
SLB
0 - 0
VIT
69%
20%
11%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
LEX
1 - 1
SLB
20%
26%
55%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2007 |
SLB
2 - 1
FCK
57%
25%
18%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
NAV
0 - 0
VST
45%
28%
27%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
EST
3 - 1
NAV
45%
28%
27%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2007 |
NAV
1 - 1
BEL
34%
28%
38%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2007 |
POR
4 - 3
NAV
29%
26%
45%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2007 |
NAV
1 - 2
VST
51%
27%
23%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |