Benfica vs Marítimo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.2%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
13.7%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2002 |
MAR
3 - 2
SLB
32%
26%
43%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
SLB
2 - 1
BOA
51%
25%
25%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
SCP
1 - 1
SLB
59%
22%
20%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2002 |
SLB
4 - 0
PAÇ
71%
18%
11%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2002 |
SAN
0 - 0
SLB
19%
24%
57%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Marítimo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2002 |
MAR
3 - 2
SLB
32%
26%
43%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
VAR
0 - 1
MAR
31%
28%
41%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2002 |
MAR
4 - 0
SAL
65%
22%
14%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2002 |
MAR
0 - 0
BOA
34%
28%
38%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2002 |
SCP
4 - 0
MAR
69%
19%
12%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | -1 |