Taça de Portugal . Semi-finals
Global 17-3
Benfica vs Ferroviário Huíla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.7%
Win probability
3.25
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.5%
5-0
6.2%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.7%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.2%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.2%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
9.1%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.1%
4.2%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 1958 |
HUI
2 - 6
SLB
20%
21%
59%
|
88 | 8 | 80 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1958 |
SLB
3 - 0
FCB
85%
10%
5%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1958 |
FCB
1 - 0
SLB
18%
20%
62%
|
89 | 67 | 22 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 1958 |
ACA
0 - 2
SLB
20%
21%
59%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 1958 |
SLB
1 - 0
ACA
85%
10%
5%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Ferroviário Huíla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 1958 |
HUI
2 - 6
SLB
20%
21%
59%
|
8 | 88 | 80 | 0 |