Taça de Portugal . Semi-finals
Global 5-1
Benfica vs Estoril analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.4%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.9%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.5%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
13%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13%
6.6%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2021 |
SLB
2 - 0
RIO
74%
16%
10%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2021 |
ARS
3 - 2
SLB
52%
23%
26%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
FAR
0 - 0
SLB
8%
17%
75%
|
87 | 63 | 24 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2021 |
SLB
1 - 1
ARS
42%
24%
34%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
MOR
1 - 1
SLB
14%
20%
66%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
EST
3 - 2
BEN
68%
20%
13%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
LEX
0 - 1
EST
23%
27%
50%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2021 |
EST
3 - 0
ACV
65%
21%
15%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2021 |
EST
1 - 3
SLB
13%
20%
67%
|
70 | 87 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
EST
1 - 2
ACA
63%
22%
15%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | -1 |