Europa League Playoffs. Quarter-finals
Global 4-4
Benfica vs Eintracht Frankfurt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
35.1%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
FEI
1 - 4
SLB
12%
21%
67%
|
85 | 64 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2019 |
SCP
1 - 0
SLB
40%
26%
34%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
SLB
1 - 0
TON
84%
11%
4%
|
86 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
MOR
0 - 4
SLB
18%
24%
58%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2019 |
SLB
3 - 0
DZG
57%
23%
21%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Eintracht Frankfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
S04
1 - 2
EIN
25%
24%
51%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
EIN
3 - 0
STU
68%
19%
13%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
EIN
1 - 0
FCN
73%
17%
10%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2019 |
INT
0 - 1
EIN
43%
24%
33%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2019 |
F95
0 - 3
EIN
17%
21%
62%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |