Benfica vs Beira Mar SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.7%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.7%
10.6%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2003 |
ACA
1 - 3
SLB
19%
22%
59%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
SLB
2 - 1
GFC
76%
17%
8%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2003 |
SLB
1 - 0
RAA
77%
16%
8%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2003 |
MOR
1 - 4
SLB
21%
23%
56%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
SLB
1 - 0
NAC
77%
16%
8%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Beira Mar SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
BMA
4 - 2
UDL
46%
25%
29%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2003 |
SCP
3 - 1
BMA
72%
18%
9%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
BMA
3 - 0
EST
67%
19%
14%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
SPB
0 - 2
BMA
56%
24%
20%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2003 |
BMA
4 - 1
PAÇ
50%
25%
25%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |