Benfica vs Arouca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.6%
Win probability
3.22
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.2%
6-0
4%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.8%
5-0
7.4%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.3%
4-0
11.5%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
15.2%
3-0
14.3%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20.1%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
7.8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
7.8%
2.6%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.2%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
SLB
1 - 0
SPB
59%
22%
19%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2010 |
S04
2 - 0
SLB
33%
26%
42%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
MAR
0 - 1
SLB
17%
21%
62%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
SLB
2 - 0
SCP
51%
24%
25%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2010 |
SLB
2 - 0
HAP
66%
20%
14%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Arouca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
ARO
2 - 2
ACA
31%
25%
45%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
ARO
3 - 0
MOR
54%
26%
21%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
BEL
1 - 0
ARO
57%
24%
18%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
ARO
2 - 2
FEI
50%
27%
24%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
SAN
1 - 1
ARO
53%
26%
21%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |