Benfica vs Almería analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.6%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.6%
10.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2021 |
SLB
2 - 1
CAS
84%
12%
5%
|
87 | 53 | 34 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2021 |
SLB
0 - 0
BEL
82%
13%
6%
|
87 | 66 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
SLB
3 - 2
FAR
83%
12%
5%
|
87 | 62 | 25 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2021 |
SLB
2 - 0
SPC
84%
12%
5%
|
87 | 55 | 32 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
SPB
2 - 0
SLB
33%
24%
43%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Almería
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
ALM
0 - 0
GIR
40%
26%
33%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2021 |
GIR
3 - 0
ALM
41%
28%
32%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
SPO
0 - 2
ALM
31%
28%
41%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2021 |
ALM
2 - 1
UDL
73%
19%
8%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2021 |
CAR
3 - 2
ALM
21%
25%
54%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |