Benfica vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.1%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.9%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.4%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
13%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13%
6.9%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2013 |
LEV
0 - 1
SLB
48%
24%
28%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
NAC
2 - 2
SLB
23%
24%
53%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
SLB
3 - 0
VST
83%
12%
5%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2013 |
PAÇ
0 - 2
SLB
27%
24%
49%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
SPB
1 - 2
SLB
45%
25%
30%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
ACA
1 - 2
RIO
44%
27%
28%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
OLH
0 - 0
ACA
35%
27%
38%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2013 |
ACA
3 - 1
BMA
58%
25%
17%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2013 |
ACA
2 - 1
NAC
34%
27%
40%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2013 |
ACA
0 - 4
SLB
16%
22%
61%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | -1 |