Benfica II vs Vilafranquense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.1%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.5%
9.4%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2021 |
ACV
0 - 1
BEN
23%
25%
53%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
BEN
2 - 0
RIO
36%
26%
39%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2021 |
ESA
3 - 6
BEN
29%
28%
44%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
BEN
1 - 3
MAF
67%
20%
14%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
LEX
1 - 2
BEN
34%
26%
40%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Vilafranquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
VIL
2 - 1
POR
29%
26%
45%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
VIL
1 - 1
FEI
19%
26%
55%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
ACV
0 - 0
VIL
52%
25%
23%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
VIL
0 - 1
MAF
31%
25%
45%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2021 |
VIL
2 - 2
ESA
41%
27%
33%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |