Benfica II vs Penafiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.8%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
15.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
NAC
0 - 3
BEN
41%
25%
34%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2022 |
BEN
1 - 2
POR
60%
22%
19%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 2021 |
FEI
2 - 1
BEN
42%
26%
31%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2021 |
BEN
0 - 0
VIL
74%
17%
9%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2021 |
ACV
0 - 1
BEN
23%
25%
53%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
PEN
4 - 3
VIL
49%
27%
25%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2022 |
PEN
0 - 0
ACV
50%
26%
24%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2021 |
POR
3 - 1
PEN
49%
25%
27%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
PEN
0 - 2
ESA
49%
27%
24%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2021 |
PEN
0 - 1
SCP
7%
15%
78%
|
60 | 87 | 27 | 0 |