Benfica II vs Casa Pia AC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
13.8%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
VIL
2 - 2
BEN
36%
26%
38%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2021 |
POR
1 - 1
BEN
44%
25%
31%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
BEN
2 - 2
ACA
43%
27%
31%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
SPC
1 - 1
BEN
41%
27%
33%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
BEN
4 - 0
OLI
44%
25%
32%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Casa Pia AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
CAS
1 - 1
LEX
38%
28%
35%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2021 |
CAS
2 - 1
COV
43%
26%
32%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
VAR
0 - 1
CAS
53%
25%
22%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
CAS
1 - 1
ARO
27%
26%
47%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2021 |
ACV
1 - 1
CAS
68%
21%
12%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |