Benfica II vs Casa Pia AC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.5%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.8%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.9%
7.6%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
FAR
0 - 3
BEN
61%
22%
17%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2019 |
SPC
2 - 2
BEN
48%
27%
25%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2019 |
BEN
3 - 3
VAR
48%
26%
27%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
FEI
1 - 1
BEN
53%
25%
22%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
BEN
2 - 2
MAF
42%
26%
32%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Casa Pia AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
CAS
1 - 4
SPC
18%
26%
56%
|
47 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2019 |
FEI
1 - 1
CAS
73%
19%
9%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
SAN
1 - 2
CAS
79%
15%
6%
|
46 | 70 | 24 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
CAS
0 - 1
MAF
16%
24%
60%
|
46 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
ACA
3 - 1
CAS
67%
21%
12%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | -1 |