Serie B . Jor. 5

Benevento vs Cagliari analysis

Benevento Cagliari
73 ELO 74
11.4% Tilt -5.5%
1202º General ELO ranking 353º
42º Country ELO ranking 21º
ELO win probability
52%
Benevento
24.5%
Draw
23.5%
Cagliari

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52%
Win probability
Benevento
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
23.5%
Win probability
Cagliari
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Benevento
-13%
+3%
Cagliari

Points and table prediction

Benevento
Their league position
Cagliari
CURR.POS.
20º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
20º
20º
60
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Frosinone
80
80
100%
Genoa
71
72
100%
SSC Bari
66
66
100%
Parma
60
61
100%
Cagliari
60
60
100%
FC Südtirol
58
58
100%
Reggina
48
53
100%
Venezia
49
49
0%
Palermo FC
49
49
0%
Ascoli
11º
48
48
10º
100%
Modena
10º
48
48
11º
100%
Pisa SC
12º
47
47
12º
0%
Como
13º
47
47
13º
0%
Cittadella
15º
43
43
14º
0%
Ternana Calcio
14º
43
43
15º
0%
Brescia
16º
40
40
16º
0%
Cosenza
17º
40
40
17º
0%
SPAL
18º
38
38
18º
100%
Perugia
19º
37
37
19º
100%
Benevento
20º
36
36
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Benevento
Cagliari
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 100%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
100% 0%

ELO progression

Benevento
Cagliari
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Benevento
Benevento
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Sep. 2022
VNZ
Venezia
0 - 2
Benevento
BEN
37%
27%
35%
74 69 5 0
28 Aug. 2022
BEN
Benevento
2 - 1
Frosinone
FRO
49%
26%
26%
73 72 1 +1
20 Aug. 2022
GEN
Genoa
0 - 0
Benevento
BEN
51%
25%
24%
73 75 2 0
14 Aug. 2022
BEN
Benevento
0 - 1
Cosenza
NUO
72%
18%
10%
74 60 14 -1
08 Aug. 2022
GEN
Genoa
3 - 2
Benevento
BEN
49%
25%
26%
74 75 1 0

Matches

Cagliari
Cagliari
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Sep. 2022
CAG
Cagliari
1 - 0
Modena
MOD
63%
22%
15%
73 65 8 0
27 Aug. 2022
SPA
SPAL
1 - 0
Cagliari
CAG
38%
27%
35%
74 67 7 -1
21 Aug. 2022
CAG
Cagliari
2 - 1
Cittadella
CTT
51%
26%
23%
73 73 0 +1
13 Aug. 2022
COM
Como
1 - 1
Cagliari
CAG
21%
27%
52%
73 59 14 0
05 Aug. 2022
CAG
Cagliari
3 - 2
Perugia
PRG
55%
23%
22%
73 70 3 0
X