Benevento vs Spezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.7%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
23.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benevento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
USC
1 - 0
BEN
40%
27%
33%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2019 |
LIV
2 - 0
BEN
24%
27%
50%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2019 |
BEN
2 - 1
PES
45%
25%
30%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
USF
1 - 1
BEN
48%
25%
27%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
BEN
1 - 0
CTT
47%
26%
27%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
SPE
0 - 2
PAD
55%
25%
20%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
PES
2 - 0
SPE
52%
25%
24%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2019 |
SPE
3 - 0
LIV
54%
25%
21%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
CAR
3 - 2
SPE
33%
29%
38%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
SPE
1 - 2
VER
42%
27%
31%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |