Torneo Federal B 1/16
Global 5-1
Ben Hur vs Libertad Sunchales analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.2%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22.8%
15.9%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ben Hur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
BHU
7 - 0
AFR
77%
15%
8%
|
46 | 15 | 31 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
ADJ
0 - 0
BHU
34%
27%
39%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
BHU
9 - 0
JAC
78%
15%
7%
|
45 | 7 | 38 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2023 |
JAC
0 - 2
BHU
13%
20%
67%
|
45 | 7 | 38 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
AFR
1 - 1
BHU
13%
20%
67%
|
45 | 10 | 35 | 0 |
Matches
Libertad Sunchales
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
ATL
1 - 2
LIB
49%
23%
28%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
LIB
3 - 0
MSB
85%
10%
5%
|
34 | 10 | 24 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
FDE
2 - 1
LIB
48%
22%
30%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
LIB
3 - 1
ATL
37%
24%
38%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | +2 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
MSB
0 - 1
LIB
9%
15%
76%
|
32 | 9 | 23 | +1 |