Torneo Regional Federal Amateur . 1/16
Global 2-2
Ben Hur vs Libertad Sunchales analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.5%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
52.5%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ben Hur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
PSM
0 - 0
BHU
40%
25%
34%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
BHU
1 - 0
PSM
52%
24%
25%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
COS
2 - 4
BHU
33%
24%
43%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
BHU
0 - 0
CSJ
40%
23%
36%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
LIB
2 - 0
BHU
76%
16%
8%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Libertad Sunchales
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
PRA
2 - 4
LIB
8%
13%
79%
|
38 | 7 | 31 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
9DJ
5 - 1
LIB
15%
20%
65%
|
42 | 25 | 17 | -4 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
LIB
3 - 0
COS
85%
10%
5%
|
41 | 22 | 19 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
CSJ
2 - 0
LIB
16%
21%
63%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | -2 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
LIB
2 - 0
BHU
76%
16%
8%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | 0 |