Belper Town FC vs Carlton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
27.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belper Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
BEL
0 - 5
TAM
26%
25%
50%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2021 |
BEL
0 - 2
COL
58%
21%
21%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
BEL
2 - 1
CAM
57%
22%
21%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2021 |
DAV
1 - 3
BEL
20%
21%
58%
|
29 | 18 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
MAT
0 - 3
BEL
64%
20%
15%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | +2 |
Matches
Carlton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
CAR
1 - 1
ILK
37%
23%
39%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2021 |
HAL
2 - 2
CAR
74%
16%
10%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
YAX
1 - 3
CAR
39%
24%
37%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2021 |
CAR
2 - 0
SUT
46%
23%
31%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
CAR
1 - 3
STR
29%
24%
47%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | -1 |