Belmonte vs Oleiros analysis


13	ELO	27
-1.8%	Tilt	-1.4%
25607º	General ELO ranking	25606º
509º	Country ELO ranking	508º
ELO win probability

14%

Belmonte

18.9%

Draw

67.1%

Oleiros

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of each margin of victory

14%
Win probability

                        
                    
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.6%

18.9%

Draw

0-0

4.5%

1-1

8.9%

2-2

4.4%

3-3

1%

4-4

0.1%

0

18.9%

67.1%
Win probability

                        
                    
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
11%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.8%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.5%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%