Belluno vs Luparense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
27%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belluno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2013 |
SAN
3 - 3
BEL
58%
22%
20%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
BEL
1 - 2
POR
38%
27%
35%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
ACD
2 - 2
BEL
47%
23%
30%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
BEL
1 - 0
MON
52%
25%
23%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
LEG
0 - 0
BEL
57%
22%
21%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Luparense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2013 |
SAN
0 - 2
SAN
69%
20%
12%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
SAN
0 - 1
CER
66%
19%
15%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
GIO
1 - 2
SAN
37%
25%
38%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | +2 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 1
TAM
41%
24%
35%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
SAN
2 - 0
SAN
60%
21%
20%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | -2 |