Belluno vs Mestre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.2%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.3%
62.5%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
15.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.8%
0-2
13.5%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belluno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
MON
1 - 4
BEL
52%
24%
24%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
BEL
1 - 1
CLO
29%
24%
47%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
SGS
1 - 2
BEL
63%
19%
18%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2020 |
BEL
0 - 0
GSD
25%
24%
51%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
BEL
1 - 1
TRE
43%
24%
32%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Mestre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
MES
3 - 2
TRE
75%
17%
8%
|
44 | 25 | 19 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
GSD
1 - 2
MES
24%
25%
51%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
MES
0 - 2
ACE
72%
19%
10%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
CJA
1 - 5
MES
25%
25%
49%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
MES
1 - 0
DEL
78%
14%
8%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | 0 |