Belize vs Guatemala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.6%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.7%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.5%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.7%
74.7%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
14.3%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.3%
0-3
10.8%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
15.2%
0-4
6.1%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
8%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.5%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belize
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2022 |
GUF
1 - 0
BLZ
72%
16%
11%
|
43 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2022 |
BLZ
1 - 1
GUF
11%
16%
73%
|
42 | 60 | 18 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
GTM
2 - 0
BLZ
83%
12%
6%
|
42 | 73 | 31 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2022 |
BLZ
0 - 2
DOM
16%
18%
65%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2022 |
BLZ
0 - 3
CUB
21%
21%
58%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Guatemala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2023 |
GTM
1 - 1
PAN
34%
26%
40%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
GTM
3 - 1
NIC
78%
15%
7%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
QAT
2 - 0
GTM
68%
19%
13%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
HND
2 - 1
GTM
55%
24%
22%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
COL
4 - 1
GTM
77%
16%
7%
|
73 | 91 | 18 | -1 |